If BOS visited PHI today, our model would lean Boston Celtics with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -15.7 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

9.4

Net Rating

-6.3

119.5

Offensive Rating

111.0

110.1

Defensive Rating

117.3

96.6

Pace

98.1

BOS (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

BOS wins

2026-05-02 BOS 109 @ PHI 100 BOS W

2026-04-30 BOS 93 @ PHI 106 PHI W

2026-04-28 BOS 113 @ PHI 97 BOS W

2026-04-26 BOS 128 @ PHI 96 BOS W

2026-04-24 BOS 108 @ PHI 100 BOS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score