If ATL visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.1 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.1

Net Rating

4.0

113.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

114.8

Defensive Rating

113.3

103.4

Pace

97.6

ATL (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

ATL 48-40 L3 Avg margin last 5: -18.8

L NYK

W NYK

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

ATL wins

2026-04-30 ATL 140 @ NYK 89 ATL W

2026-04-28 ATL 97 @ NYK 126 NYK W

2026-04-25 ATL 114 @ NYK 98 ATL W

2026-04-23 ATL 108 @ NYK 109 NYK W

2026-04-20 ATL 107 @ NYK 106 ATL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score