NBAANALYTICS

GSW

Golden State Warriors

0-0

N/A

Friday, Nov 13

9:40 PM ET

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

0-0

N/A

Preview: GSW @ SAS — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists GSW -11.5, our model projects +7.6 (80% confidence). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (GSW) - Model: -7.6, Vegas: -11.5, Edge: 3.9pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-7.56

Vegas Line

-11.5

The Edge

3.94 pts

LOCK: GSW

Recent Form

GSW Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

SAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

114.2

Offensive Rating

113.5

111.0

Defensive Rating

116.3

+3.2

Net Rating

-2.8

GSW SAS

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 2-2

2026-04-01 GSW 113, SAS 127 away

2026-02-11 GSW 113, SAS 126 away

2025-11-14 SAS 108, GSW 109 home

2025-11-12 SAS 120, GSW 125 home

Want picks like this every morning?

Get Free Daily Picks

Preview: GSW @ SAS — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens GSW -11.5, but our model sees +7.6. That gap of +3.9 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 80% probability in favor of GSW, with an edge of +3.9 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK VISITOR (GSW) - Model: -7.6, Vegas: -11.5, Edge: 3.9pts