NBAANALYTICS

DET

Detroit Pistons

0-0

N/A

Thursday, Nov 12

7:10 PM ET

WAS

Washington Wizards

0-0

N/A

Preview: DET @ WAS — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists WAS +10.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (WAS) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +10.5, Edge: 8.6pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

10.5

The Edge

-8.57 pts

Recent Form

DET Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

WAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

114.6

Offensive Rating

105.8

112.5

Defensive Rating

118.0

+2.1

Net Rating

-12.2

DET WAS

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-3

2026-03-19 WAS 95, DET 117 home

2026-03-17 WAS 117, DET 130 home

2026-02-05 DET 117, WAS 126 away

2025-11-10 DET 137, WAS 135 away

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Preview: DET @ WAS — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens WAS +10.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +8.6 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of WAS, with an edge of +8.6 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (WAS) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +10.5, Edge: 8.6pts