Preview: CHA @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHA -6.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (CHA) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: -6.5, Edge: 8.4pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

-6.5

The Edge

8.43 pts

CHA Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

PHX Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

106.7

Offensive Rating

114.7

115.7

Defensive Rating

117.7

-9.1

Net Rating

-3.0

CHA PHX

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-1

2026-04-02 CHA 127, PHX 107 away

2026-03-08 PHX 111, CHA 99 home

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Preview: CHA @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHA -6.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +8.4 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of CHA, with an edge of +8.4 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK VISITOR (CHA) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: -6.5, Edge: 8.4pts