NBAANALYTICS

WAS

Washington Wizards

0-0

N/A

Wednesday, Nov 11

7:10 PM ET

IND

Indiana Pacers

0-0

N/A

Preview: WAS @ IND — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists IND -2.5, our model projects +6.7 (77% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (IND) - Model: -6.7, Vegas: -2.5, Edge: 4.2pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-6.73

Vegas Line

-2.5

The Edge

-4.23 pts

Recent Form

WAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

IND Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

105.8

Offensive Rating

115.4

118.0

Defensive Rating

113.3

-12.2

Net Rating

+2.1

WAS IND

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-3

2026-02-20 WAS 131, IND 118 away

2026-02-19 WAS 112, IND 105 away

2025-12-14 IND 89, WAS 108 home

2025-11-28 IND 119, WAS 86 home

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Preview: WAS @ IND — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens IND -2.5, but our model sees +6.7. That gap of +4.2 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 77% probability in favor of IND, with an edge of +4.2 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (IND) - Model: -6.7, Vegas: -2.5, Edge: 4.2pts