Preview: SAS @ CHI — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHI +15.5, our model projects -4.8 (69% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (CHI) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +15.5, Edge: 10.7pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+4.84

Vegas Line

15.5

The Edge

-10.66 pts

SAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

CHI Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

113.5

Offensive Rating

113.2

116.3

Defensive Rating

114.8

-2.8

Net Rating

-1.6

SAS CHI

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 0-2

2026-03-30 SAS 129, CHI 114 away

2025-11-10 CHI 117, SAS 121 home

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Preview: SAS @ CHI — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHI +15.5, but our model sees -4.8. That gap of +10.7 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 69% probability in favor of CHI, with an edge of +10.7 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (CHI) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +15.5, Edge: 10.7pts