NBAANALYTICS

BOS

Boston Celtics

0-0

N/A

Wednesday, Nov 11

7:10 PM ET

TOR

Toronto Raptors

0-0

N/A

Preview: BOS @ TOR — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists TOR +5.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (TOR) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +5.5, Edge: 3.6pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

5.5

The Edge

-3.57 pts

Recent Form

BOS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

TOR Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

119.5

Offensive Rating

109.6

110.1

Defensive Rating

113.6

+9.4

Net Rating

-4.1

BOS TOR

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 0-4

2026-04-05 BOS 115, TOR 101 away

2026-01-09 BOS 125, TOR 117 away

2025-12-20 TOR 96, BOS 112 home

2025-12-07 TOR 113, BOS 121 home

Want picks like this every morning?

Get Free Daily Picks

Preview: BOS @ TOR — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens TOR +5.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +3.6 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of TOR, with an edge of +3.6 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (TOR) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +5.5, Edge: 3.6pts