NBAANALYTICS

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

0-0

N/A

Monday, Nov 9

9:10 PM ET

PHX

Phoenix Suns

0-0

N/A

Preview: SAS @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists PHX +8.5, our model projects -4.8 (69% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (PHX) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +8.5, Edge: 3.7pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+4.84

Vegas Line

8.5

The Edge

-3.66 pts

Recent Form

SAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

PHX Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

113.5

Offensive Rating

114.7

116.3

Defensive Rating

117.7

-2.8

Net Rating

-3.0

SAS PHX

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 2-2

2026-03-19 SAS 101, PHX 100 away

2026-02-19 SAS 121, PHX 94 away

2025-11-23 PHX 111, SAS 102 home

2025-11-02 PHX 130, SAS 118 home

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Preview: SAS @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens PHX +8.5, but our model sees -4.8. That gap of +3.7 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 69% probability in favor of PHX, with an edge of +3.7 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (PHX) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +8.5, Edge: 3.7pts