Preview: NOP @ GSW — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists NOP -8.5, our model projects +2.0 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (NOP) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 6.5pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-1.97

Vegas Line

-8.5

The Edge

6.53 pts

NOP Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

GSW Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

109.7

Offensive Rating

114.2

119.1

Defensive Rating

111.0

-9.4

Net Rating

+3.2

NOP GSW

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 2-1

2026-02-24 NOP 113, GSW 109 away

2025-11-29 GSW 104, NOP 96 home

2025-11-16 NOP 106, GSW 124 away

Want picks like this every morning?

Get Free Daily Picks

Preview: NOP @ GSW — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens NOP -8.5, but our model sees +2.0. That gap of +6.5 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of NOP, with an edge of +6.5 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK VISITOR (NOP) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 6.5pts