NBAANALYTICS

DEN

Denver Nuggets

0-0

N/A

Monday, Nov 9

8:40 PM ET

HOU

Houston Rockets

0-0

N/A

Preview: DEN @ HOU — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists DEN -4.5, our model projects +0.4 (52% confidence). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (DEN) - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -4.5, Edge: 4.1pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-0.36

Vegas Line

-4.5

The Edge

4.14 pts

Recent Form

DEN Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

HOU Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

118.9

Offensive Rating

114.9

115.1

Defensive Rating

110.3

+3.8

Net Rating

+4.6

DEN HOU

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-3

2026-03-11 DEN 129, HOU 93 away

2025-12-20 DEN 101, HOU 115 away

2025-12-15 DEN 128, HOU 125 away

2025-11-21 HOU 109, DEN 112 home

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Preview: DEN @ HOU — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens DEN -4.5, but our model sees +0.4. That gap of +4.1 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 52% probability in favor of DEN, with an edge of +4.1 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK VISITOR (DEN) - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -4.5, Edge: 4.1pts