Preview: PHI @ CHI — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHI +9.5, our model projects -4.8 (69% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (CHI) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +9.5, Edge: 4.7pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+4.84

Vegas Line

9.5

The Edge

-4.66 pts

PHI Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

CHI Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

111.0

Offensive Rating

113.2

117.3

Defensive Rating

114.8

-6.3

Net Rating

-1.6

PHI CHI

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 2-1

2026-03-25 PHI 157, CHI 137 away

2025-12-26 CHI 109, PHI 102 home

2025-11-04 CHI 113, PHI 111 home

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Preview: PHI @ CHI — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHI +9.5, but our model sees -4.8. That gap of +4.7 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 69% probability in favor of CHI, with an edge of +4.7 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (CHI) - Model: +4.8, Vegas: +9.5, Edge: 4.7pts