NBAANALYTICS

HOU

Houston Rockets

0-0

N/A

Saturday, Nov 7

9:10 PM ET

PHX

Phoenix Suns

0-0

N/A

Preview: HOU @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists PHX +6.5, our model projects +0.4 (52% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (PHX) - Model: -0.4, Vegas: +6.5, Edge: 6.9pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-0.36

Vegas Line

6.5

The Edge

-6.86 pts

Recent Form

HOU Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

PHX Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

114.9

Offensive Rating

114.7

110.3

Defensive Rating

117.7

+4.6

Net Rating

-3.0

HOU PHX

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 0-4

2026-04-07 PHX 105, HOU 119 home

2026-01-05 HOU 100, PHX 97 away

2025-12-05 HOU 117, PHX 98 away

2025-11-24 PHX 92, HOU 114 home

Want picks like this every morning?

Get Free Daily Picks

Preview: HOU @ PHX — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens PHX +6.5, but our model sees +0.4. That gap of +6.9 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 52% probability in favor of PHX, with an edge of +6.9 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (PHX) - Model: -0.4, Vegas: +6.5, Edge: 6.9pts