NBAANALYTICS

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

0-0

N/A

Friday, Nov 6

8:10 PM ET

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

0-0

N/A

Preview: MIN @ NOP — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists MIN +4.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: No Edge - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +4.5, Diff: 2.6pts (need >3.0).

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

4.5

The Edge

-2.57 pts

Recent Form

MIN Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

NOP Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

115.7

Offensive Rating

109.7

110.8

Defensive Rating

119.1

+5.0

Net Rating

-9.4

MIN NOP

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-3

2026-04-12 MIN 132, NOP 126 away

2026-02-06 MIN 115, NOP 119 away

2025-12-04 NOP 116, MIN 125 home

2025-12-02 NOP 142, MIN 149 home

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Preview: MIN @ NOP — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens MIN +4.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +2.6 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of MIN, with an edge of +2.6 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

No Edge - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +4.5, Diff: 2.6pts (need >3.0)