Preview: BOS @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHA +8.5, our model projects +2.0 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: +8.5, Edge: 10.5pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-1.97

Vegas Line

8.5

The Edge

-10.47 pts

BOS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

CHA Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

119.5

Offensive Rating

106.7

110.1

Defensive Rating

115.7

+9.4

Net Rating

-9.1

BOS CHA

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-2

2026-04-07 BOS 113, CHA 102 away

2026-03-29 CHA 99, BOS 114 home

2026-03-04 BOS 89, CHA 118 away

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Preview: BOS @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHA +8.5, but our model sees +2.0. That gap of +10.5 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of CHA, with an edge of +10.5 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: +8.5, Edge: 10.5pts