NBAANALYTICS

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

0-0

N/A

Monday, Nov 2

8:10 PM ET

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

0-0

N/A

Lock: Why NOP Will Cover vs MEM

While Vegas lists NOP -5.5, our model projects -8.9 (86% confidence). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (NOP) - Model: +8.9, Vegas: -5.5, Edge: 14.4pts.

Archetype: Lock

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+8.93

Vegas Line

-5.5

The Edge

14.43 pts

LOCK: NOP

Recent Form

NOP Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

MEM Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

109.7

Offensive Rating

117.2

119.1

Defensive Rating

112.6

-9.4

Net Rating

+4.7

NOP MEM

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 2-2

2026-01-30 NOP 114, MEM 106 away

2026-01-23 MEM 127, NOP 133 home

2025-11-26 NOP 128, MEM 133 away

2025-10-22 MEM 128, NOP 122 home

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Lock: Why NOP Will Cover vs MEM.

Vegas opens NOP -5.5, but our model sees -8.9. That gap of +14.4 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

High model confidence and a large projected margin make NOP our top play of the slate — worth a close look for value-conscious bettors.

Key Stat

LOCK VISITOR (NOP) - Model: +8.9, Vegas: -5.5, Edge: 14.4pts