Preview: DET @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHA +5.5, our model projects +2.0 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: +5.5, Edge: 7.5pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-1.97

Vegas Line

5.5

The Edge

-7.47 pts

DET Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

CHA Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

114.6

Offensive Rating

106.7

112.5

Defensive Rating

115.7

+2.1

Net Rating

-9.1

DET CHA

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 0-3

2026-04-10 CHA 100, DET 118 home

2026-02-09 CHA 104, DET 110 home

2025-12-20 DET 112, CHA 86 away

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Preview: DET @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHA +5.5, but our model sees +2.0. That gap of +7.5 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of CHA, with an edge of +7.5 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -2.0, Vegas: +5.5, Edge: 7.5pts