NBAANALYTICS

BOS

Boston Celtics

0-0

N/A

Sunday, Nov 1

3:40 PM ET

ORL

Orlando Magic

0-0

N/A

Preview: BOS @ ORL — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists ORL +6.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (ORL) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +6.5, Edge: 4.6pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

6.5

The Edge

-4.57 pts

Recent Form

BOS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

ORL Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

119.5

Offensive Rating

108.9

110.1

Defensive Rating

109.1

+9.4

Net Rating

-0.2

BOS ORL

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-3

2026-04-12 BOS 113, ORL 108 away

2025-11-23 BOS 138, ORL 129 away

2025-11-09 ORL 107, BOS 111 home

2025-11-07 ORL 123, BOS 110 home

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Preview: BOS @ ORL — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens ORL +6.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +4.6 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of ORL, with an edge of +4.6 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

LOCK HOME (ORL) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +6.5, Edge: 4.6pts