Preview: PHI @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists CHA +1.5, our model projects +6.7 (77% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -6.7, Vegas: +1.5, Edge: 8.2pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-6.73

Vegas Line

1.5

The Edge

-8.23 pts

PHI Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

CHA Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

111.0

Offensive Rating

106.7

117.3

Defensive Rating

115.7

-6.3

Net Rating

-9.1

PHI CHA

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-2

2026-03-28 CHA 114, PHI 118 home

2026-01-26 CHA 130, PHI 93 home

2025-10-25 PHI 125, CHA 121 away

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Preview: PHI @ CHA — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens CHA +1.5, but our model sees +6.7. That gap of +8.2 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 77% probability in favor of CHA, with an edge of +8.2 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (CHA) - Model: -6.7, Vegas: +1.5, Edge: 8.2pts