Preview: OKC @ HOU — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists OKC -2.5, our model projects +0.4 (52% confidence). Key factor: No Edge - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -2.5, Diff: 2.1pts (need >3.0).

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-0.36

Vegas Line

-2.5

The Edge

2.14 pts

OKC Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

HOU Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

119.2

Offensive Rating

114.9

106.6

Defensive Rating

110.3

+12.7

Net Rating

+4.6

OKC HOU

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-2

2026-02-07 OKC 106, HOU 112 away

2026-01-15 HOU 91, OKC 111 home

2025-10-21 OKC 125, HOU 124 away

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Preview: OKC @ HOU — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens OKC -2.5, but our model sees +0.4. That gap of +2.1 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 52% probability in favor of OKC, with an edge of +2.1 points vs the Vegas line.

No Edge - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -2.5, Diff: 2.1pts (need >3.0)