Preview: SAS @ UTA — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists UTA +13.5, our model projects -1.9 (58% confidence). Key factor: LOCK HOME (UTA) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +13.5, Edge: 11.6pts.

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

+1.93

Vegas Line

13.5

The Edge

-11.57 pts

SAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

UTA Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

113.5

Offensive Rating

110.2

116.3

Defensive Rating

119.4

-2.8

Net Rating

-9.2

SAS UTA

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 1-2

2026-01-22 UTA 109, SAS 126 home

2026-01-19 SAS 123, UTA 110 away

2025-12-27 SAS 114, UTA 127 away

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Preview: SAS @ UTA — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens UTA +13.5, but our model sees -1.9. That gap of +11.6 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 58% probability in favor of UTA, with an edge of +11.6 points vs the Vegas line.

LOCK HOME (UTA) - Model: +1.9, Vegas: +13.5, Edge: 11.6pts