NBAANALYTICS

PHX

Phoenix Suns

0-0

N/A

Monday, Oct 26

8:10 PM ET

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

0-0

N/A

Preview: PHX @ OKC — Model vs. Vegas

While Vegas lists PHX -10.5, our model projects +7.6 (80% confidence). Key factor: No Edge - Model: -7.6, Vegas: -10.5, Diff: 2.9pts (need >3.0).

Archetype: Competitive

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-7.56

Vegas Line

-10.5

The Edge

2.94 pts

Recent Form

PHX Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

OKC Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

114.7

Offensive Rating

119.2

117.7

Defensive Rating

106.6

-3.0

Net Rating

+12.7

PHX OKC

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 7-2

2026-04-27 PHX 122, OKC 131 away

2026-04-25 PHX 109, OKC 121 away

2026-04-22 OKC 120, PHX 107 home

2026-04-19 OKC 119, PHX 84 home

2026-04-12 OKC 103, PHX 135 home

2026-02-11 PHX 109, OKC 136 away

2026-01-04 PHX 108, OKC 105 away

2025-12-10 OKC 138, PHX 89 home

2025-11-28 OKC 123, PHX 119 home

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Preview: PHX @ OKC — Model vs. Vegas.

Vegas opens PHX -10.5, but our model sees +7.6. That gap of +2.9 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

The model sees a 80% probability in favor of PHX, with an edge of +2.9 points vs the Vegas line.

Key Stat

No Edge - Model: -7.6, Vegas: -10.5, Diff: 2.9pts (need >3.0)