NBAANALYTICS

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

0-0

N/A

Tuesday, Oct 20

9:30 PM ET

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

0-0

N/A

No Edge: OKC @ SAS Looks Tight — Best to Sit Out

While Vegas lists OKC -1.5, our model projects +0.4 (52% confidence). Key factor: No Edge - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -1.5, Diff: 1.1pts (need >3.0).

Archetype: Stay Away

AI Edge Analysis

Model Line

-0.36

Vegas Line

-1.5

The Edge

1.14 pts

Recent Form

OKC Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

SAS Last 5: 0-0

Avg margin: +0.0

Team Ratings

119.2

Offensive Rating

113.5

106.6

Defensive Rating

116.3

+12.7

Net Rating

-2.8

OKC SAS

Head-to-Head

No meetings this season. Last season:

Previous season: 8-4

2026-05-30 OKC 103, SAS 111 away

2026-05-28 SAS 118, OKC 91 home

2026-05-26 OKC 127, SAS 114 away

2026-05-24 SAS 103, OKC 82 home

2026-05-22 SAS 108, OKC 123 home

2026-05-20 OKC 122, SAS 113 away

2026-05-18 OKC 115, SAS 122 away

2026-02-04 SAS 116, OKC 106 home

2026-01-13 OKC 119, SAS 98 away

2025-12-25 OKC 102, SAS 117 away

2025-12-23 SAS 130, OKC 110 home

2025-12-13 SAS 111, OKC 109 home

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No Edge: OKC @ SAS Looks Tight — Best to Sit Out.

Vegas opens OKC -1.5, but our model sees +0.4. That gap of +1.1 points is the primary reason this matchup has drawn attention.

With net ratings of SAS -2.8 and OKC +12.7, the model finds no meaningful edge here. Conservative bettors should pass.

Key Stat

No Edge - Model: -0.4, Vegas: -1.5, Diff: 1.1pts (need >3.0)