Today’s Best Bets
80%
78%
68%
All Games
San Antonio Spurs @ Charlotte Hornets
12:00 pm ET ET
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Charlotte Hornets 4.0 | Charlotte Hornets -0.8 |
52% |
| Moneyline | Charlotte Hornets 150 | Charlotte Hornets |
55% |
| Total | O/U 227.5 | Predicted: 224.2 |
55% |
This projects as a close game with Charlotte Hornets at 55% to win. The San Antonio Spurs have been the significantly better team by net rating this season.
Charlotte Hornets net rating: -9.0
San Antonio Spurs net rating: -2.7
Charlotte Hornets last 10: 1-9
San Antonio Spurs last 10: 3-7
Best Prices:
Spread: Lowvig (-102) | ML: Bovada (+150) | Total: FanDuel (-106)
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers
7:00 pm ET ET
Best Bet
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana Pacers 1.5 | Indiana Pacers -5.4 |
66% |
| Moneyline | Indiana Pacers 107 | Indiana Pacers |
78% |
| Total | O/U 232.5 | Predicted: 233.3 |
55% |
Our model gives Indiana Pacers a strong 78% chance to win at home. The Indiana Pacers have been the significantly better team by net rating this season. The Indiana Pacers are playing well recently, which factors into our projection.
Indiana Pacers net rating: +2.2
Atlanta Hawks net rating: -1.1
Indiana Pacers last 10: 8-2
Atlanta Hawks last 10: 5-5
Best Prices:
Spread: Lowvig (-103) | ML: Lowvig (+107) | Total: Lowvig (-107)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Philadelphia 76ers
7:30 pm ET ET
Best Bet
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Philadelphia 76ers -10.5 | Philadelphia 76ers -4.3 |
63% |
| Moneyline | Philadelphia 76ers -395 | Philadelphia 76ers |
73% |
| Total | O/U 232.5 | Predicted: 226.1 |
55% |
Our model gives Philadelphia 76ers a strong 73% chance to win at home. FADE New Orleans Pelicans: Playing on a back-to-back at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers net rating: -6.2
New Orleans Pelicans net rating: -9.2
Philadelphia 76ers last 10: 1-9
New Orleans Pelicans last 10: 2-8
New Orleans Pelicans: BACK-TO-BACK (on road)
Best Prices:
Spread: DraftKings (-102) | ML: Lowvig (-395) | Total: Lowvig (-104)
Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat
8:00 pm ET ET
Best Bet
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami Heat -6.5 | Miami Heat -4.0 |
62% |
| Moneyline | Miami Heat -180 | Miami Heat |
71% |
| Total | O/U 233.5 | Predicted: 227.0 |
55% |
Our model gives Miami Heat a strong 72% chance to win at home.
Miami Heat net rating: +0.6
Chicago Bulls net rating: -1.5
Miami Heat last 10: 6-4
Chicago Bulls last 10: 7-3
Best Prices:
Spread: BetMGM (-102) | ML: Bovada (-180) | Total: Mybookieag (-110)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies
8:00 pm ET ET
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 | Memphis Grizzlies -2.4 |
57% |
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies 265 | Memphis Grizzlies |
63% |
| Total | O/U 229.5 | Predicted: 230.0 |
55% |
Our model gives Memphis Grizzlies a strong 63% chance to win at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing well recently, which factors into our projection. FADE Memphis Grizzlies: Playing on a back-to-back (rest disadvantage)
Memphis Grizzlies net rating: +4.6
Minnesota Timberwolves net rating: +5.0
Memphis Grizzlies last 10: 4-6
Minnesota Timberwolves last 10: 8-2
Memphis Grizzlies: BACK-TO-BACK
Best Prices:
Spread: BetMGM (+100) | ML: FanDuel (+265) | Total: Lowvig (-107)
Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets
8:30 pm ET ET
Best Bet
| Type | Line | Our Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston Rockets -11.0 | Houston Rockets -6.0 |
68% |
| Moneyline | Houston Rockets -444 | Houston Rockets |
80% |
| Total | O/U 223.0 | Predicted: 226.0 |
55% |
Our model gives Houston Rockets a strong 80% chance to win at home. The Houston Rockets have been the significantly better team by net rating this season.
Houston Rockets net rating: +4.4
Dallas Mavericks net rating: -1.2
Houston Rockets last 10: 6-4
Dallas Mavericks last 10: 4-6
Best Prices:
Spread: FanDuel (-110) | ML: Lowvig (-444) | Total: Lowvig (-107)
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How Our Model Works
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Team Efficiency
Offensive and defensive ratings per 100 possessions
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Recent Form
Last 10 games performance and momentum trends
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Rest & Travel
Back-to-back detection and travel fatigue
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Market Analysis
Compare projections vs. sportsbook lines for value
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