While Vegas lists DET by -3.5, our model projects -0.4 (Prob 52%). Key factor: No Edge - Predicted: +0.6, Vegas: -3.5, Diff: -2.9pts (need >4.0).
Upset Alert: Why NYK Could Shock DET Tonight.
Vegas opens DET -3.5, but our model sees -0.4. That gap (+3.1 points) is the primary reason this matchup has gained attention.
Why this could happen: the data show a meaningful advantage that Vegas appears to have missed — look at the rest and recent defensive trends in the model's inputs.
No Edge - Predicted: +0.6, Vegas: -3.5, Diff: -2.9pts (need >4.0)
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