While Vegas lists MIN by -8.5, our model projects -9.1 (Prob 86%). Key factor: LOCK HOME (MIN) - Predicted: +16.9, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 8.4pts.
Lock: Why MIN Will Cover vs NOP.
Vegas opens MIN -8.5, but our model sees -9.1. That gap (-0.6 points) is the primary reason this matchup has gained attention.
Why to believe it: high model confidence and a large projected margin suggest this is our top play of the slate — worth a second look for value-conscious bettors.
LOCK HOME (MIN) - Predicted: +16.9, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 8.4pts
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