While Vegas lists MEM by -8.5, our model projects +6.0 (Prob 26%). Key factor: LOCK VISITOR (MEM) - Predicted: -4.9, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 13.4pts.
Upset Alert: Why POR Could Shock MEM Tonight.
Vegas opens MEM -8.5, but our model sees +6.0. That gap (+14.5 points) is the primary reason this matchup has gained attention.
Why this could happen: the data show a meaningful advantage that Vegas appears to have missed — look at the rest and recent defensive trends in the model's inputs.
LOCK VISITOR (MEM) - Predicted: -4.9, Vegas: -8.5, Edge: 13.4pts
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