While Vegas lists MIL by +1.5, our model projects -0.4 (Prob 51%). Key factor: LOCK HOME (MIL) - Predicted: +2.8, Vegas: +1.5, Edge: 4.3pts.
No Edge: IND @ MIL Looks Tight — Best to Sit Out.
Vegas opens MIL +1.5, but our model sees -0.4. That gap (-1.9 points) is the primary reason this matchup has gained attention.
Bottom line: this looks like a close matchup. There's no clear value edge, so consider skipping or conservative bankroll strategies.
LOCK HOME (MIL) - Predicted: +2.8, Vegas: +1.5, Edge: 4.3pts
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